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ECONOMIC FUTURE
 ENGAGEMENT  BUDGET ASSUMPTIONS/





                                                                                     Concerns





        Based on the City’s long-range projections, the City will have to continue to overcome the following budget realities.

           •  Expenditures continue to increase primarily due to Public Safety
           •  Revenue growth from existing sources is fl attening, while future recessions are projected
           •  Economic Development and growth is the key to balancing future budgets, but this growth alone will not fund the priorities/
             needs identifi ed by the community in past surveys.  Economic development helps to grow revenues to maintain services
           •  New revenues are necessary to provide enhanced services
           •  New revenues are necessary to provide enhanced services
        The illustration below shows the potential budgetary gap in future years beyond this two-year budget cycle. Expenses are
        The illustration below shows the potential budgetary gap in future years beyond this two-year budget cycle. Expenses are
        forecasted to increase through 2025 and through economic development, revenues may also.
        forecasted to increase through 2025 and through economic development, revenues may also.
                                                                                                                 FY
                                                                                                               2024/25
            140
                                                                                                       FY
                                                                                                     2022/23
            130

                                                                                                              FY
                                                                                                            2023/24
            120                                                               FY
                                                                                                     FY
                                                                             2018/19               2021/22
                                                                                             FY
                                                                                            2020/21
         MILLIONS  2008/09                                                 FY        2019/20
            110
                                                                                      FY
                  FY
            100                                                           2017/18
                        FY
             90       2009/10                                         FY
                                                                     2016/17
                                                               FY
                                                              2015/16
             80
                                                        FY
                              FY                      2014/15
                             2010/11
                                    FY            FY
                                          FY
             70                    2011/12  2012/13  2013/14
                                                             Revenues    Expenses   *Revenues do not assume projected recession.
        While focusing signifi cant energy to attract and retain local businesses, the City will also contend with ongoing fi scal pressures:
           •  Although Moreno Valley works hard to protect funding for local services, Sacramento continues to fi nd new ways to take
             millions of dollars from cities like ours, while also imposing expensive new regulations without any funding to implement them
           •  Riverside County continues to increase costs for key public services, including contract law enforcement
           •  Fire protection costs are rising
           •  The City must continue to re-invest in upgrading the City’s aging infrastructure - specifi cally unsatisfactory on 53% of our streets
           •  The City Council’s commitment to Pension Reform continues to save millions of dollars every year.  The City must also
             contend with factors beyond its control such as revisions to CalPERS rate methodology which had previously smoothed
             rate increases over longer periods
           •  The General Fund must guarantee debt service payments on the police facility and other obligations of the current
             Development Impact Fee accounts
           •  The Country is in the longest economic recovery period ever recorded. If economic development does not occur, city
             services may be impacted in the future
        The City’s ongoing success in meeting fi scal challenges demonstrates the City Council’s commitment to using resources for
        maximum public benefi t.  The Council’s resolve, combined with highly engaged managers at all levels and a collaborative
        relationship with our employees will continue to serve us well over the next two fi scal years and beyond.


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